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Harris/Trump prediction


IsntLifeFunny

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Pollsters don't know how to model the electorate post Dobbs.  They are still fighting the last war and trying to make sure they don't undercount  Trump.   Women speak loudly and have had eno

Trump will claim he won regardles of how the votes are cast and his supporters will agree.  Go to the bank on that one.

Harris wins by more than Biden did. Women deliver like always and young voters deliver for the first time.

I've been feeling like Trump wins in a close one for a while, but I haven't actually been following polling or anything like that so it isn't exactly grounded in any specific information. It just seems to me he has a wider (but perhaps not deeper) appeal now and the fact he wasn't outright rebuked tells me all the things I think that should be disqualifying just aren't big factors for a lot of people, so I don't know how much value to put into those things as working against him.

 

If he doesn't win, then I predict he and the election deniers who are in congress will try and disrupt the certification in new and ridiculous ways.

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56 minutes ago, IsntLifeFunny said:

Everyone should take into account the illegals, software, hardware, bio tech, and big media. 

 

With all of that put into the aggregate who wins? 

It's either Trump wins running away or if it's close they freeze vote counts at 1am again and every day Kamala gains on him until she has enough votes and wins it all. 

Official Prediction is Trump by 272 electoral votes. 

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17 minutes ago, OzTitan said:

I've been feeling like Trump wins in a close one for a while, but I haven't actually been following polling or anything like that so it isn't exactly grounded in any specific information. It just seems to me he has a wider (but perhaps not deeper) appeal now and the fact he wasn't outright rebuked tells me all the things I think that should be disqualifying just aren't big factors for a lot of people, so I don't know how much value to put into those things as working against him.

 

If he doesn't win, then I predict he and the election deniers who are in congress will try and disrupt the certification in new and ridiculous ways.

 

Said something very similar yesterday. This is essentially where I'm at at the moment.

 

I've moderately followed the polling. I don't have a complete disregard for it, but it's all simply an indicator, not a good predictor. 

 

With the current zeitgeist of the country, I just feel like Trump will pull those counties that count while losing the popular in a massive landslide. 

 

BTW, that's also not good for the zeitgeist of the U.S. How many times in the past few decades can millions of voters essentially have their vote be diminished by a half or a third because of the EC. 

 

I also like the EC as an idea, and it worked for a century. But it's so broken at this point. 

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Electoral college is moronic on its face. Let me get that out there. Every vote should count equally. Full stop. 

 

Anyway, I've long held that Trump not getting rejected for the many, clearly disqualifying things he's done is a really good baseline making it almost impossible to ever win going away. He's got a whole host of things working against him and he still might win, meanwhile Kamala has run a clean campaign without scandal and has numerous factors working for her.

 

That dynamic makes it hard to predict but I've long had a sinking feeling mixed with hope and I have no great idea what to expect tomorrow. If I absolutely had to predict then I do think Kamala wins based on just enough people having a conscience and caring that Trump disqualified himself repeatedly ... but very few things would surprise me.

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22 minutes ago, No1TitansFan said:

So there's no scenario in your mind where Kamala legitimately wins a close election? That speaks volumes of how indoctrinated you are by the echo chambers you hang out in . BTW 272 is not running away.

272 is my official number. It's also probably the worst case scenario either way.
Trump by 300+ or Kamala by 272
Can you just let me get away with my prediction for once without being a jerk? LOL

272 for Trump is my Official Prediction.

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12 minutes ago, Titandan said:

272 is my official number. It's also probably the worst case scenario either way.
Trump by 300+ or Kamala by 272
Can you just let me get away with my prediction for once without being a jerk? LOL

272 for Trump is my Official Prediction.

No1 is probably the kindest person that comes over here.  He wasn't being a jerk. 

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12 minutes ago, Titandan said:

272 is my official number. It's also probably the worst case scenario either way.
Trump by 300+ or Kamala by 272
Can you just let me get away with my prediction for once without being a jerk? LOL

272 for Trump is my Official Prediction.

 

JFC, are you saying Trump wins with 272 EC votes or that Trump beats her by 272 EC votes? Words have meaning. 

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