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ctm

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  1. ctm

    RBG died

    Seems like to me that Lindsey Graham might be a wild card. Last poll had him in a tie race. Tom Tillis is also in a tight race in NC and losing slightly. Joni Ernst in Iowa isn't exactly home free. Nor is Daines in Montana. These guys may not want to go on the record right now. There is risk to them no matter which way they declare.
  2. ctm

    RBG died

    Exactly. But at the same time Trump will try to make this the defining issue of the election, energize his base, and use it change the subject from the pandemic.
  3. ctm

    RBG died

    That will be Trump's only consideration. Who helps him most in the election?
  4. ctm

    RBG died

    My guess is that Trump names a woman and forces Biden to take a stand before election day.
  5. ctm

    RBG died

    Don't kid yourself. Trump will name someone very, very soon and McConnell will get him/her confirmed in the lame duck session.
  6. Biden: This election is a choice between Scranton and Park Ave. This is great messaging. He's saying Trump is not one of us. He's the real elitist. We'll hear a lot more of this.
  7. Many of the polls have adjusted their methodology. Pollsters didn't weight their samples in 2016 for education level and as a result Trump's base of white voters without a college degree were under represented. Furthermore, there were a lot more undecided voters going in to the last weekend of 2016 than there are now. Thus more chance for volatility then. https://www.newsweek.com/how-pollsters-changed-their-game-after-getting-2016-election-wrong-1532943 But most experts point to the lack of representation of white voters without college degrees as the single biggest problem of 2016—an error that resulted in a gross underestimation of Trump's performance throughout the campaign. Educational status only became a major polling issue around 2012. Before then, white voters with or without college degrees voted Republican at roughly the same rate. Now, college-educated white voters are more Democratic while white non-college-educated voters trend Republican. By 2016, the gap was so large that if pollsters didn't adjust their sampling method it would throw off an entire survey by several points. "That's one thing polling has fixed," Patrick Murray, the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, told Newsweek. "We've done it here at Monmouth, and most other people have, but not everyone."
  8. ctm

    Virus in US

    The White House scrapped a plan by the US Postal Service to send every American household a face mask in April, The Washington Post reported on Thursday, citing documents obtained through public-records requests. The Post obtained thousands of internal Postal Service documents that revealed previously unreported details of the agency's struggle to deal with the Trump administration's response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The documents showed that in early April, after public-health experts began recommending face masks to mitigate the spread of COVID-19, some officials at the Department of Health and Human Services suggested that the Postal Service, an agency that delivers mail to the entire country, could be uniquely positioned to deliver packs of reusable masks to every American household. A draft press release obtained by The Post showed that the Postal Service was preparing to send out 650 million masks, first targeting areas like Louisiana, Michigan, and New York, which at the time were experiencing particularly severe outbreaks of COVID-19. But the White House immediately put the kibosh on the idea when it caught wind of the plan, multiple Trump administration officials told The Post, with one official saying: "There was concern from some in the White House Domestic Policy Council and the office of the vice president that households receiving masks might create concern or panic." https://www.businessinsider.com/white-house-blocked-usps-from-sending-face-masks-to-all-households-2020-9?fbclid=IwAR0eY7FQecQBMknLZV3puTR9j23JJt03W8tqilWU4YIIxiwAkGK7l-RiLRc
  9. Democrats everywhere have been waiting 4 years for this day. There won't be any of this one's in the bag, so no need to vote this time. Lesson learned.
  10. Translation: We know Biden did a good job and that conflicts with our dementia narrative, so he must have cheated.
  11. My only criticism, and it's minor, is that Biden seemed like he was always shouting last night. I'm sure that was due to the physical format where the questioner was a considerable distance from him.
  12. ctm

    Mayor Cooper

    Shame, shame, shame on Mayor Cooper for listening to health officials about how bars allow the spread of the virus and being proactive.
  13. ctm

    Virus in US

    From what I heard yesterday, the first vaccine to come out will require 2 shots and has to be refrigerated at -70 degrees. There are going to be distribution issues and priorities for who gets it first are going to come into play.

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