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1 minute ago, TitansFan23 said:

Notable OL picks after the 2nd round:

 

Jason Kelce — 6th round (2011)

David Bakhtiari — 4th round (2013)

Jahri Evans — 4th round (2006)

Marshal Yanda — 3rd round (2007)

Terron Armstead — 3rd round (2013)

Orlando Brown Jr. — 3rd round (2018)

Joe Thuney — 3rd round (2016)

Corey Linsley — 5th round (2014)

Brandon Brooks — 3rd round (2012)

Ryan Jensen — 6th round (2013)

 

yes- you can find quality players in any round. Its not if you CAN. Its about the miss rate. I feel like I say this a dozen times. You can get hall of fame level players literally in any round.  Brady is a prime example-  that doesn't mean you target the 6th round for your qb. 

 

The higher you draft, the better chance to hit on a startign quality player... The lower you draft- particularly after 2nd round-- the higher chance of a miss.  

 

Can you target guards in the 3rd round?  Yes.  And its normal to do so.. but dont count on them to be a starter day 1 and they may not pan out at all. 

 

 

 

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Oh ok, let me find a test one to do. Thanks so much, titanskick.  Appreciate it.  Sorry everyone.

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2 minutes ago, Pragidealist said:

yes- you can find quality players in any round. Its not if you CAN. Its about the miss rate. I feel like I say this a dozen times. You can get hall of fame level players literally in any round.  Brady is a prime example-  that doesn't mean you target the 6th round for your qb. 

 

The higher you draft, the better chance to hit on a startign quality player... The lower you draft- particularly after 2nd round-- the higher chance of a miss.  

 

Can you target guards in the 3rd round?  Yes.  And its normal to do so.. but dont count on them to be a starter day 1 and they may not pan out at all. 

 

 

 


I don’t disagree. The draft can be a crap shoot. This is where the rubber meets the road for scouting and overall front office competency. 

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7 minutes ago, Callidus said:

Here are the top 15 guards in the nfl per pff. Yes I know that isn't ideal but its the easiest list to work with. 

 

Meinerz 3rd

Lindstrom 1st

Dotson 4th

Nelson 1st

Skoronski 1st

Thuney 3rd

Lewis 3rd

Onwenu 6th

Avila 2nd

Zeitler 1st

Ingram 2nd

Smith 1st

Steen 3rd

Seumalo 3rd

McCormick 4th

 

Thats 5 first rounders. 2 second rounders. 5 third rounders. 2 fouths and a sixth. 

 

You can find plenty of good interior offensive linemen in the middle rounds. This isn't like edge rushers or qbs where the best of the best are almost always gone by pick 45. 

 

its almost as if Prag doesn't actually follow football...

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2 minutes ago, oldschool said:

 

its almost as if Prag doesn't actually follow football...

Resource allocation and opportunity cost are something alot of people struggle with. I worked for a guy when I started in construction who would pay me to drive around with him and pick up metal and wood  people were throwing away. Sure its free but he was also not making money while we did it.

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21 minutes ago, Callidus said:

Here are the top 15 guards in the nfl per pff. Yes I know that isn't ideal but its the easiest list to work with. 

 

Meinerz 3rd

Lindstrom 1st

Dotson 4th

Nelson 1st

Skoronski 1st

Thuney 3rd

Lewis 3rd

Onwenu 6th

Avila 2nd

Zeitler 1st

Ingram 2nd

Smith 1st

Steen 3rd

Seumalo 3rd

McCormick 4th

 

Thats 5 first rounders. 2 second rounders. 5 third rounders. 2 fouths and a sixth. 

 

You can find plenty of good interior offensive linemen in the middle rounds. This isn't like edge rushers or qbs where the best of the best are almost always gone by pick 45. 

The real question is how good were they as a rookie though…

 

I wouldn’t remotely trust a day 3 OL to start. Those are developmental guys. A day 2 guy? Sure. You can draft a guard in round 3 and expect him to start. I certainly wouldn’t draft a LT in round 3 expecting him to start week 1 but I think a guard early in round 3 will be expected to be good enough to play right away.

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6 minutes ago, Starkiller said:

The real question is how good were they as a rookie though…

 

I wouldn’t remotely trust a day 3 OL to start. Those are developmental guys. A day 2 guy? Sure. You can draft a guard in round 3 and expect him to start. I certainly wouldn’t draft a LT in round 3 expecting him to start week 1 but I think a guard early in round 3 will be expected to be good enough to play right away.

I would be lying if I told you how good all of these guys were to start their careers. I want to say thuney was from the start and Im pretty sure meinerz was as well. 

Edited by Callidus
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11 minutes ago, Starkiller said:

It’s pretty routine to draft a guard on day 2 and expect him to start right away.

 

I agree that you could easily draft a bust and then you’re stuck with him, but you just have to trust the scouts.

I agree its routine. That's not the same as saying "we can just wait and get a g in 3" and expect the same quality and liklihood of success as one taken in 2 or 1.

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Just now, Pragidealist said:

I agree its routine. That's not the same as saying "we can just wait and get a g in 3" and expect the same quality and liklihood of success as one taken in 2 or 1.

Well there isn’t likely to be a round 1 G this year (sadly no lock like Warmack for us to get). 
 

The top guards generally go in round 2, maybe late round 1. Good guards are found in round 3 pretty often. A couple of years ago 7 guards went in round 3 and I assure you that all of them were expected to start.

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41 minutes ago, Starkiller said:

It’s pretty routine to draft a guard on day 2 and expect him to start right away.

 

I agree that you could easily draft a bust and then you’re stuck with him, but you just have to trust the scouts.


We have drafted bust OL in the first. 

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Edited by TitansFan23
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23 minutes ago, Starkiller said:

Well there isn’t likely to be a round 1 G this year (sadly no lock like Warmack for us to get). 
 

The top guards generally go in round 2, maybe late round 1. Good guards are found in round 3 pretty often. A couple of years ago 7 guards went in round 3 and I assure you that all of them were expected to start.

3 were selected last year in the third round.  Only one started all season- on the Bengals.  The other got 6 starts.. on the raiders.   The third did not start at all. 

 

I can share 23 later.  Basially.. it can happne. usually bad teams. but sometimes a good team can find a starting g in the 3rd round. 

 

Basically what I've been saying

 

 

 

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