Harris/Trump prediction

[begooode]

7 minutes ago, Titans279 said:

I see you left out NY and NJ!

and I see you left out DC!

[headhunter]

5 hours ago, IsntLifeFunny said:

@headhunter get that hundo lined up for the board.

Oh yeah, you too? 

[IsntLifeFunny]

1 hour ago, headhunter said:

Oh yeah, you too? 

I won't need it

[Number9]

Harris.

I don't think 'eating the dogs and cats' was a good idea.  He lost the debate.  He declined another debate.  All he's done is basically make the same attacks.  

 

The border is a serious problem.  Neither candidate* impressed me about the border.  Economy.  Tariffs is stupid.  Harris points to what they have done.  Healthcare.  A concept vs the ACA.  

 

Abortion access.  Women(single-married) want the right of choice.  Trump had to carry that anvil.  Half the population understands the plight of a single pregnant woman.  Intelligent men understand it too.

Trump was stuck to his base.

 

Women 60% Harris.

 

I pray there will be no violence.  I love America.  I see no reason to tear the Constitution up.  The document has withstood the test of time.  If we want to institute Laws it allows for change.  

 

Project 2025?

 

 

[TitansPDO]

Harris wins popular vote, but Trump wins electoral college (takes PA, NV, GA, NC, and AZ)

Edited November 6, 2024 by TitansPDO

[pat]

I think everyone has severely underestimated the impact that deplatforming Democrats off Twitter has had on this race.

 

The South African with Saudi Arabian money elected the worst candidate imaginable once again.

[OzTitan]

4 hours ago, pat said:

I think everyone has severely underestimated the impact that deplatforming Democrats off Twitter has had on this race.

 

The South African with Saudi Arabian money elected the worst candidate imaginable once again.

He certainly used all he had at his disposal and engaged in the exact same things he and others accused the previous ownership of. At the end of the day the largest platform was actively working for one side.

 

But the left was not deplatformed, from my perspective there was rampant misinformation from the left as much as the right this cycle. 

[pat]

2 hours ago, OzTitan said:

He certainly used all he had at his disposal and engaged in the exact same things he and others accused the previous ownership of. At the end of the day the largest platform was actively working for one side.

 

But the left was not deplatformed, from my perspective there was rampant misinformation from the left as much as the right this cycle. 

naw dude, its not just about misinformation.  it's also about organization and mailing lists, subscriber files.  that's how to turn out the vote like that.

[pat]

in case you don’t know:

 

Saudi’s Arabia funded Elon Musk’s purchase of Twitter.  Elon Musk is South African.  Elon Musk provided turn out the vote support to the Trump campaign.  It was very effective.

 

There is a ton of current and past targeting information available in social networks.  In 2016, Trump relied on Cambridge Analytica which extracted the social graph from Facebook.

 

There were a couple attempts at starting a conservative social network that went nowhere.

 

Buying a social network has apparently been a simpler path.

[headhunter]

1 minute ago, pat said:

in case you don’t know:

 

Saudi’s Arabia funded Elon Musk’s purchase of Twitter.  Elon Musk is South African.  Elon Musk provided turn out the vote support to the Trump campaign.  It was very effective.

 

There is a ton of current and past targeting information available in social networks.  In 2016, Trump relied on Cambridge Analytica which extracted the social graph from Facebook.

 

There were a couple attempts at starting a conservative social network that went nowhere.

 

Buying a social network has apparently been a simpler path.

It's a counter with all the liberal media. YouTube suppressed the Trump and Rogan podcast for crying out loud 

[pat]

10 minutes ago, headhunter said:

It's a counter with all the liberal media. YouTube suppressed the Trump and Rogan podcast for crying out loud 

The aggressor always argues self defense.  I’m confident in the next 4 years Republicans will continue to cry foul despite controlling all three branches of government.  “The enemy within” and what not.

[headhunter]

8 minutes ago, pat said:

The aggressor always argues self defense.  I’m confident in the next 4 years Republicans will continue to cry foul despite controlling all three branches of government.  “The enemy within” and what not.

I honestly doubt that 

[pat]

Let me shed a bit more light on the opportunities provided by purchasing Twitter.

 

First, you get the engagement history from the users.  One can build a list of all users who engaged positively with pro-Trump content.  This provides a list of high propensity users.

 

Next, you get the lat lng location history of those users.  Use this location history to get home addresses, compare those addresses to voter registration rolls, and now you have a list of high propensity voters.

 

At this point, you now have a list of voters to turnout.  Knock on their doors.  Send them mail.  Normal stuff.  But highly targeted.

 

Again, Cambridge Analytics built this kind of list in 2016 with viral content on Facebook.  In 2024 Elon Musk simply bought this list from Twitter.

 

The Harris campaign was able to target ads through social media ad buys, but without internal data they would not be in the same position to identity specific voters.

 

Anecdotal experience was 3 of 10 Democrats in PA were either not voting, or voting Trump.  Republicans did a better job reaching those voters.

[pat]

And all that above is in addition to being able to tweak recommendation algorithms to favor preferred content to users.

[LongTimeFan]

4 minutes ago, pat said:

And all that above is in addition to being able to tweak recommendation algorithms to favor preferred content to users.

So you're saying the GOP did what the Dems did previously.