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Investing is more about controlling your emotions vs how smart you are. Some smart people aren't content just letting the market do it's thing, they want to be the reason or have control. 

 

A smart guy like Abenjami or even a below average in intelligence guy like Jamal wants to control things. 

 

“Investing is not a game where the guy with the 160 IQ beats the guy with the 130 IQ. Once you have ordinary intelligence, what you need is the temperament to control the urges that get other people into trouble in investing.” —Warren Buffett

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Jfc are you a boomer? Here...    

This is one of the problems.... It could go higher for much longer and/or when you get in it could go lower much longer..... You have to guess right twice

Way back when Bush was president he signed this https://theweek.com/articles/767184/how-george-bush-broke-post-office   Around the same time my house flooded, home insurance doesn't cover fl

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16 hours ago, OILERMAN said:

Here is what's funny about this whole topic and I've posted this article a few times. This article came out after this post. Even if you know when the market dips are, dollar cost averaging wins anyway. 

 

Even God Couldn’t Beat Dollar-Cost Averaging

Posted February 5, 2019 by Nick Maggiulli

 

https://ofdollarsanddata.com/even-god-couldnt-beat-dollar-cost-averaging/

 

Even if you knew every market dip perfectly dollar cost averaging is way better. 

 

Interestingly, if you're a mellinial or late Gen-X, buy the dip has worked over your adult lifetime because of the great recession. If you were God and timed it perfect.

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7 hours ago, Jamalisms said:

Interestingly, if you're a mellinial or late Gen-X, buy the dip has worked over your adult lifetime because of the great recession. If you were God and timed it perfect.

 

The article shows there were times buying the dip worked. It showed 40 year rolling increments starting in 1920. If you timed the worst downturns perfectly it worked 30% of the time and the downturns had to be perfectly timed. If they weren't timed perfectly it was 3% of the time. 

 

When the downturns happen no one gets in at the bottom. I remember you specifically talking about how it made no sense the market was going up so quickly during Covid. Which it didn't and it never does. 

 

Fidelity Reviewed Which Investors Did Best And What They Found Was Hilarious

 

 

O'Shaughnessy: "Fidelity had done a study as to which accounts had done the best at Fidelity. And what they found was..."

 

Ritholtz: "They were dead."

 

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Also interesting is if you bought at the market highs every year it didn't even hurt you that bad. The difference was small.

 

Bottom line, stay in the market and keep buying. 

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2 hours ago, OILERMAN said:

Also interesting is if you bought at the market highs every year it didn't even hurt you that bad. The difference was small.

 

Bottom line, stay in the market and keep buying. 

 

And buy more when it dips...

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8 hours ago, abenjami said:

 

And buy more when it dips...

 

The good thing about dollar cost averaging is it makes you automatically buy more when it dips

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4 hours ago, OILERMAN said:

 

The good thing about dollar cost averaging is it makes you automatically buy more when it dips

 

More shares for the same amount of money yes.  I was talking about inputting additional money though.

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6 hours ago, abenjami said:

 

More shares for the same amount of money yes.  I was talking about inputting additional money though.

 

I did that once with a decent amount I had in cash(30K). I also contributed more during the pandemic. I didn't track it but it didn't feel like it mattered much in the grand scheme. 

 

The main factors is how early you start so compounding can work and how much you invest. 

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