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2024 General Election - Trump vs Kamala Harris


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4 minutes ago, Mythos27 said:

Yeah, I was looking at some of the early vote numbers in swing states on that link that @rns90 posted and the women are really turning out. Given how well Kamala has done with the very key demographic of white women, the numbers are very encouraging. I spend a good amount of time on facebook and for a while, I was worried about particularly all of these young men of color that have really fallen for the sexism that these gender/dating wars have created. I was thinking "damn, a lot of these guys will probably vote for Trump". But then I remembered that while there are a lot of guys feeling like that, there are also women who are on the other side of this issue. These women are fucking pissed, they heavily favor Harris/dems, and there are substantially more of them than the butt-hurt dudes online who talk shit but likely won't get off their ass to actually vote. 

 

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/trump-supporters-getting-nervous-men-aren-t-turning-out-to-polls/ar-AA1thdJm?ocid=msedgntp&pc=HCTS&cvid=b8fac702974e43cac732c5c815e3886c&ei=12

 

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*Merc posting Trump accomplishments Titans Report Libs refused to acknowledge because they clearly have TDS TDS TDS    Donald J. Trump:    prevented all new wars halted a

The Fake News craze has gone so far that reporting actual news is framed as left wing bias. This is the case in Europe too

It's impossible not to question the morality of people who choose to support politicians who spread vile and dangerous rhetoric like that.   If you're willing do that, what else are you will

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3 hours ago, Mythos27 said:

I'd be all for voter ID if a free one was mailed to the residence of anyone over the age of 18 (or about to turn 18) and the cost of a replacement did not exceed say $10. This would also have to be done at least a year of from the nearest presidential election.  The current attempts to institute voter ID is specifically aimed at depriving poorer Americans, who are often people of color and vote democrat, of their right to vote. Eliminate the hurdles and I'm all for it. As it stands, I'll trade the like 3 cases of voter fraud a year for millions to have the right to vote. 

This is such an old talking point that doesn't exist in the real world. Anyone can get an id and they don't need it mailed to them. They need to show up in person.

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Women are dominating early voting in the 2024 election so far, prompting concern among some of former President Donald Trump's allies.

 

Women are outpacing men in casting ballots nationally and in all seven battleground states, according to NBC News' tracker of early ballot returns. Of the more than 58 million mail-in and early in-person votes that have been cast nationally, 54 percent were cast by women and 44 percent by men.

 

In the swing states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia and North Carolina, there is at least a 10-point gap between men and women in the early vote. The gender gap was widest in Pennsylvania as of 2 a.m. ET on Thursday, with women accounting for about 56 percent of the early vote, and men for about 43 percent.

 

Mike Cernovich, a right-wing political commentator, wrote that "male turnout in Pennsylvania for Trump has been a disaster." He added: "Unless this changes, Kamala Harris takes PA [Pennsylvania] and it's over.

 

https://www.newsweek.com/women-dominate-early-voting-trump-supporters-nervous-1977757

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You have to have an ID in 33 states. This idea being pushed by idiots that mass fraud is going on is absolutely ridiculous. To the 17 states left to ratify such laws hopefully they do. 

 

If the Federal Government were to ever enact such a law they would have to spend money to make sure every single person got a free ID. That is a poll tax at the Federal level. 

 

Now, seeing as the idiots do not understand nuance, I'll just leave it at this: the elections aren't being stolen you fucking morons.

 

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1 hour ago, Titans279 said:

The crazy part is this is what Republicans want. They want white babies. They want no contraception or abortions. They know for a fact white people have higher access to such healthcare. People can shout from the roofs that it isn't their entire demographic or that it's sadist to think such a thing, but the fact is that it's true. From a political and cultural standpoint this is what Republicans truly believe is that white people won't be the dominant race in the next 50 years and they're going to stop it by law.

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12 hours ago, tgo said:

Well this tweet is not able to be imbedded - I guess Elon Musk doesn’t want you to see this -

 

https://x.com/bakari_sellers/status/1851802540230242602?s=46&t=fthe8t99KT2T3g8buxUBIg

This is our world?  Just sad.

 

10 hours ago, Justafan said:

Came back to the forum just for shits and giggles and read through some things. I haven't really paid attention to politics since we've moved to Germany. I'm a better person for it. Good luck fellas. Hope the election falls however it is you want it to and the world doesn't actually burn down as a result. 

Guten tag Herr Justafan! Wie gehts?

It's something I like about Maui too.  Definitely not abroad like Germany, but removed enough from the mainland turmoil and focused more locally, so you don't live that BS day to day out here.  Have fun.  Would say Stay Safe, but you already are if there. 

 

7 minutes ago, IsntLifeFunny said:

You have to have an ID in 33 states. This idea being pushed by idiots that mass fraud is going on is absolutely ridiculous. To the 17 states left to ratify such laws hopefully they do. 

 

 

I'm really over the ridiculousness of states' rights on these things.  Feels at times like we're living in Shakespearean city states of Bourgogne or Genoa. Items like this and so much more need a national standard.  It for a national election after all.  The original compromises made to form the Union continue to bite us in the ass.

 

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4 hours ago, oldschool said:

 

If she loses PA, the question of Walz over Shapiro will be front and center as it should be. It doesn't matter that Shapiro doesn't like to take a back seat to anyone, delivering PA is the most important thing in presidential politics right now as long as FL and TX are red. 

I don’t think she’s losing PA. I think she wins NC/PA/MI. I’m less sure on WI. I think Trump sweeps GA/AZ/NV. If that is the electoral map, then Kamala is the 47rh president regardless of what happens in WI. 

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2 minutes ago, oldschool said:

 

no one knows. Polling is broken, MSM is playing up thats its a tie to drive clicks, and depending who you talk to, the early data in NV, WI, and PA favors Dems or the GOP. Bottom line is just go fucking vote and see if we can stave of a 2nd Trump term. if we don't, we deserve whatever happens over the next 4 years and beyond.

Agreed. Polling is just so broken in this country. And it’s clear they’re trying to find polls to make it seem like it’s anyone’s race. 
 

I voted earlier this week. There’s a transit referendum here in Nashville on the ballot that I’m sure will lose. 

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Since we can’t embed I just pasted the text

 

“For a bit of fun I plugged Nate silvers state numbers into my simulation model.


I got trump winning 52.7% of the time, pretty damn close to what he has.


I then simulated a systematic 1% polling error against harris - harris then wins just under 65% of the time.

 

A systematic 2% error against harris leads to her winning 80% of the time and her mean electoral votes being close to 300.


Small margins - well under the margin of error for the polls.”

 


https://www.threads.net/@clarkeeliot/post/DBzG6UCIUNJ

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