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Browns @ Chiefs   Bet the over.  53pts  LOCK of the week.  

I'm posting this early because this total will increase, so get it now.  

 

Last year was kinda slow and a lot of you guys had to get second jobs to dig out of debt. My Bad.  Remember this awesome advice is free.

We still had one rags to riches story last year.  Backas Ward bet every pick I posted.  Somehow Backas bet the opposite of all my picks and made a killing.

 

This information is for amusement only.

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@Number9 now why the hell would you make a separate thread when I already have one for this discussion?   Of course bet the over. Cards don't have a secondary. This should be a maintenance d

Lmfao at hitting 80-85 percent of bets.

Browns @ Chiefs   Bet the over.  53pts  LOCK of the week.   I'm posting this early because this total will increase, so get it now.     Last year was kinda slow and a lot of you guys ha

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Just now, OILERMAN said:

 

The Texans are a complete dumpster fire, that's why

 

And the Jags are in a better position with Urban Meyer?  #1 overall QB haven't won their 1st start since 2002 when David Carr did.

 

Tyrod Taylor is more than capable of managing this game to sneak out a win.

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Just now, Guts said:

 

And the Jags are in a better position with Urban Meyer?  #1 overall QB haven't won their 1st start since 2002 when David Carr did.

 

Tyrod Taylor is more than capable of managing this game to sneak out a win.

 

I wasn't predicted who would win/cover, just pointing out why I think the Jags are favored 

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1 hour ago, OILERMAN said:

 

The Texans are a complete dumpster fire, that's why

 

1 hour ago, Guts said:

 

And the Jags are in a better position with Urban Meyer?  #1 overall QB haven't won their 1st start since 2002 when David Carr did.

 

Tyrod Taylor is more than capable of managing this game to sneak out a win.

 

Alabama might be able to beat them both.  LOL

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16 minutes ago, abenjami said:

 

 

Alabama might be able to beat them both.  LOL

I know you were saying that jokingly but Alabama would lose by 50 plus to both.  If they decided to take their feet off the gas in the 3rd.

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My tip is bet first halves. Easier to predict than waiting on the outcome of the whole game but you gotta look at the numbers… it doesn’t always work but if you study long enough and look at the numbers sometimes Vegas hands it on a platter for you… here’s an example last night:

 

Ole Miss was a 8.5 favorite for the entire contest, the first half spread was at -6.5. Those numbers tell you to take Ole miss because Vegas is most  counting on them to win by more than 7 against Louisville and they expect a closer second half than the first. Because the spread of that halftime result was more than double of what halftime spreads are.. usually if Vegas thought Louisville was going to compete the spread would have been closer to 3-4.5 points. I bet Ole miss at 6.5 for the halftime and they ended up winning 26-3. Again, doesn’t always workout that way but I’ve hit 80-85 percent of my bets betting that way. Just look at the numbers, study them, look at the total and if it matches to what the spread outcome will be. 
 

another example is  Illinois against Nebraska first week. Nebraska was a 7.5 point favorite with the halftime spread being at 2.5, to me that tells me that Vegas expects a close first half so I took Illinois. They ended up winning the first half 16-9.


you can make a lot of money betting halftime than waiting on the outcome of games that can go either way. 

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12 minutes ago, Stan said:

My tip is bet first halves. Easier to predict than waiting on the outcome of the whole game but you gotta look at the numbers… it doesn’t always work but if you study long enough and look at the numbers sometimes Vegas hands it on a platter for you… here’s an example last night:

 

Ole Miss was a 8.5 favorite for the entire contest, the first half spread was at -6.5. Those numbers tell you to take Ole miss because Vegas is most  counting on them to win by more than 7 against Louisville and they expect a closer second half than the first. Because the spread of that halftime result was more than double of what halftime spreads are.. usually if Vegas thought Louisville was going to compete the spread would have been closer to 3-4.5 points. I bet Ole miss at 6.5 for the halftime and they ended up winning 26-3. Again, doesn’t always workout that way but I’ve hit 80-85 percent of my bets betting that way. Just look at the numbers, study them, look at the total and if it matches to what the spread outcome will be. 
 

another example is  Illinois against Nebraska first week. Nebraska was a 7.5 point favorite with the halftime spread being at 2.5, to me that tells me that Vegas expects a close first half so I took Illinois. They ended up winning the first half 16-9.


you can make a lot of money betting halftime than waiting on the outcome of games that can go either way. 

Lmfao at hitting 80-85 percent of bets.

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38 minutes ago, Stan said:

Here’s a good game, you got Buffalo Bills a 6.5 favorite against the Steelers first half spread is at 4. Take Buffalo to cover that first half spread.  

You may be right, but that spread seems way too high for an always solid Steelers squad.  And factoring in week 1 craziness.

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