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Jonboy

Titans Make Huge Jump in ELO Rankings

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Our ELO improved by 46 points this week, more than any other team. It was enough to bump us into their top 10 teams overall coming in at #8. Their model currently projects us to go 10-6 with a 61% chance to make the playoffs (I'd say this will change one way or another after tonight's Houston result).

 

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-nfl-predictions/

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24 minutes ago, begooode said:

That guy here -- Any model with that kind of volatility doesn't mean much at this time of year, imo

That’s every model ever when it has such little data.

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46 minutes ago, begooode said:

That guy here -- Any model with that kind of volatility doesn't mean much at this time of year, imo

 

21 minutes ago, TheBukafax said:

That’s every model ever when it has such little data.

This one partially carries over your score from last year though. So there is that.

 

At the start of each season, every existing team carries its Elo rating over from the end of the previous season, except that it is reverted one-third of the way toward a mean of 1505. That is our way of hedging for the offseason’s carousel of draft picks, free agency, trades and coaching changes. We don’t currently have any way to adjust for a team’s actual offseason moves, aside from changes at quarterback, but a heavy dose of regression to the mean is the next-best thing, since the NFL has built-in mechanisms (like the salary cap) that promote parity, dragging bad teams upward and knocking good ones down a peg or two.

 

https://fivethirtyeight.com/methodology/how-our-nfl-predictions-work/

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5 minutes ago, nine said:

ELO was my first live concert.   I believe it was 1981 at the now-defunct Aladdin Theatre in Las Vegas.  

 

Love me some ELO. 

 

  My first 45 was Don't Bring Me Down as a young kid in the early eighties.

 

 

Edited by MIKE75

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Supposedly, before Petty dies, Jeff Lynn, Tom Petty and Joe Walsh were trying to get another Wilburrys gig going..  

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2 minutes ago, Nash said:

Supposedly, before Petty dies, Jeff Lynn, Tom Petty and Joe Walsh were trying to get another Wilburrys gig going..  

Joe Walsh wasn’t in the original, was he going to replace George Harrison?

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5 hours ago, nine said:

ELO was my first live concert.   I believe it was 1981 at the now-defunct Aladdin Theatre in Las Vegas.  

 

Love me some ELO. 

 

My first concert:

 

 

 

 

Edited by TF_Titan

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