OILERMAN Posted May 5, 2019 Report Share Posted May 5, 2019 http://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/26632812/super-bowl-divisional-odds-playoff-odds-all-32-nfl-teams-2019-season Tennessee Titans (100-1 to win SB) Odds to win AFC: 50-1 Division: 5-1(Tied with Jags/last) Over/under: 8 Odds to make playoffs: Yes +375, No -500 The Dolphins have the worst chance to win the AFC at 100-1, Titans are in the next group at 50-1 with the Bills and Bengals. Of note Vegas has the Raiders, Jags and Broncos with a better chance then the Titans To win the SB, the Cards/Fins have the worst chance at 200-1. The Titans are in the next worse group at 100-1 with Bills, Bengals, Giants, Redskins, Lions and Bucs. Jets, Jags and Raiders have better odds to win SB then the Titans. I think the Seahawks are undervalued and the Ravens are overvalued. Justafan 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsntLifeFunny Posted May 5, 2019 Report Share Posted May 5, 2019 (edited) Pretty strange to be at 8 wins and last in the division at the same time. Edited May 5, 2019 by IsntLifeFunny SleepingTitan 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
OILERMAN Posted May 5, 2019 Author Report Share Posted May 5, 2019 8 minutes ago, IsntLifeFunny said: Pretty strange to be at 8 wins and last in the division at the same time. The Colts are the clear cut fave then the other 3 are pretty much right there with the Texans slightly rated higher. The bigger anomaly is the Titans are down with the worst teams in the league in terms of winning the AFC or SB but have a much better win total vs those same teams. The other teams are in the 6 win range while the Titans are at 8. I think that is a reflection of the coaching staff and the talent on the roster minus QB. I actually agree with the reasoning too. I could see them being better than 8 wins if things fall right but winning the AFC or SB is super unlikely. Justafan 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsntLifeFunny Posted May 5, 2019 Report Share Posted May 5, 2019 2 minutes ago, OILERMAN said: The Colts are the clear cut fave then the other 3 are pretty much right there with the Texans slightly rated higher. The bigger anomaly is the Titans are down with the worst teams in the league in terms of winning the AFC or SB but have a much better win total vs those same teams. The other teams are in the 6 win range while the Titans are at 8. I think that is a reflection of the coaching staff and the talent on the roster minus QB. I actually agree with the reasoning too. I could see them being better than 8 wins if things fall right but winning the AFC or SB is super unlikely. It’s pretty interesting no matter how you dissect it. Either Vegas thinks we have an excellent roster, or they think we have a good roster with a QB who can win but can’t stay healthy. Putting us at 8 wins with that schedule doesn’t leave much room for a different opinion. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
OILERMAN Posted May 5, 2019 Author Report Share Posted May 5, 2019 3 minutes ago, IsntLifeFunny said: It’s pretty interesting no matter how you dissect it. Either Vegas thinks we have an excellent roster, or they think we have a good roster with a QB who can win but can’t stay healthy. Putting us at 8 wins with that schedule doesn’t leave much room for a different opinion. I really don't think it works that way..... Vegas could have the Titans at an 8 over/under while only favoring them in 3 games when the schedule is looked at as a whole. 8 is where they think they'll get action on both sides, not a record prediction Justafan, Eighteen, and Denali 3 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
japan Posted May 5, 2019 Report Share Posted May 5, 2019 (edited) 2 hours ago, OILERMAN said: http://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/26632812/super-bowl-divisional-odds-playoff-odds-all-32-nfl-teams-2019-season Tennessee Titans (100-1 to win SB) Odds to win AFC: 50-1 Division: 5-1(Tied with Jags/last) Over/under: 8 Odds to make playoffs: Yes +375, No -500 The Dolphins have the worst chance to win the AFC at 100-1, Titans are in the next group at 50-1 with the Bills and Bengals. Of note Vegas has the Raiders, Jags and Broncos with a better chance then the Titans To win the SB, the Cards/Fins have the worst chance at 200-1. The Titans are in the next worse group at 100-1 with Bills, Bengals, Giants, Redskins, Lions and Bucs. Jets, Jags and Raiders have better odds to win SB then the Titans. I think the Seahawks are undervalued and the Ravens are overvalued. Wonder what this looked like last year. I would guess it turned out to be pretty accurate for us. And it was probably pretty similar to this. Edited May 5, 2019 by japan Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
OILERMAN Posted May 5, 2019 Author Report Share Posted May 5, 2019 5 minutes ago, japan said: Wonder what this looked like last year. I would guess it turned out to be pretty accurate for us. They've been pretty good the last few years within a game or so. They started out 7.5 and climbed to 8-8.5 before the season The big error was in 2016 when the line was 6, I said bet everything you had on the over. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Former_Fan Posted May 5, 2019 Report Share Posted May 5, 2019 I saw a poll that had the Titans at 7-9 no playoffs. I think this stems from very little confidence on Mariota improving or staying healthy for a full season. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
OILERMAN Posted May 5, 2019 Author Report Share Posted May 5, 2019 I listen to the Ross Tucker betting podcast with Steve Fezzik(two time SB sports betting champ) and he's been slamming Mariota for about 2 years. I posted it last season and Scine said he'd change his tune after 2018. I'm sure they'll do a pod on the post draft odds in a week or so. I'll post whether or not last season changed his mind japan, and woolfolksunclesuncle 1 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBukafax Posted May 5, 2019 Report Share Posted May 5, 2019 2 hours ago, OILERMAN said: I really don't think it works that way..... Vegas could have the Titans at an 8 over/under while only favoring them in 3 games when the schedule is looked at as a whole. 8 is where they think they'll get action on both sides, not a record prediction Glad somebody else gets it lol OILERMAN 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
OILERMAN Posted May 5, 2019 Author Report Share Posted May 5, 2019 I tried to find the Vegas odds on every game but didn't find it. I did find this though. USA Today goes down every game and predicts a winner and comes up with the final records for every team. They have the Titans at 5-11. 5-11 seems crazy until you go down the schedule and look at each game individually. https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/05/2019-nfl-season-predictions-every-game-super-bowl Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
SuperFreak90 Posted May 5, 2019 Report Share Posted May 5, 2019 Knock Luck out, and the Colts are done. SleepingTitan 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
wiscotitansfan Posted May 5, 2019 Report Share Posted May 5, 2019 3 minutes ago, SuperFreak90 said: Knock Luck out, and the Colts are done. Knock Mariota out and the Titans are in the exact position we’ve always been with him? woolfolksunclesuncle 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
bizzyeddie Posted May 5, 2019 Report Share Posted May 5, 2019 looking at superbowl odds I generally see 2 or 3 teams I like the odds on. I tend to look for a team in a weaker division that may sneak into the playoffs. I really don't see any team this year that looks like a decent bet. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Number9 Posted May 5, 2019 Report Share Posted May 5, 2019 I asked the ticket agent once why the Titans win total was so low. He just said "quarterback" woolfolksunclesuncle, and OILERMAN 1 1 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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