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Everything posted by nine

  1. We obviously can’t draw any conclusions based on a single game against the league’s #1 defense...but it’s worth noting that the Packers’ offense was completely unable to run the ball at all and gave up 5 sacks out of 35 QB dropbacks. Sound familiar? (It’s also worth noting that they had 1-2 more sacks negated by defensive penalties). I’ve said before that I like MLF’s offense in theory, but that he did a terrible job of implementing it last year. Mariota obviously took most of the blame....but every single position group played very poorly, especially over the first half of the schedule. When an entire group of players performs poorly...that’s a direct indictment of the coaching. It’ll be interesting to see whether the Packers O can get on track in the coming weeks...because what we saw in week one was eerily reminiscent of last year.
  2. Perhaps. But even in games that have a highly conservative run-oriented gameplan, teams typically throw for 175-200 yards....and somebody's catching those passes. With all due respect to Humphries and Davis.....Delanie is still Marcus' most trusted and dependable target and could easily account for 25-30% of the team's receiving yards.
  3. We've obviously discussed this subject before. At the risk of quoting myself, here's something I pointed out in one of those threads. I'm not suggesting that these four games were great performances or examples of elite QB play....but when allowed to air it out over four quarters, he was pretty darned solid.
  4. AB has yet to set foot on he field in a Raiders uniform....but he’s already an ongoing soap opera and a major distraction for their entire organization. I can’t imagine how tiresome his childish, bipolar antics have become for Mayock and Gruden....and their season hasn’t even freaking started yet. They still have 17 episodes left to go.
  5. Delanie getting 55 yards? That almost seems too good to be true. He’s averaged 50+ yds/game in each of the past four seasons and had 52 yards before blowing out his ankle in last year’s season opener. An average performance for Delanie wins that bet.
  6. One critical area I haven’t seen mentioned: We already know Vrabel is pretty darned good with clock management and in-game decisions. He has a great feel for when to be aggressive and take risks and when to play it safe. And we learned last year just how incredibly thorough he is with preparation....he literally has a plan in place for every conceivable situation. (For example, that intentional “12 men on defense” penalty late in the 4th quarter against the Jets. I was initially furious...but it was a calculated and deliberate move that ended up being a critical component in the comeback win. It was completely counterintuitive to all conventional wisdom...and it was absolutely brilliant.) Freddie Kitchens’ in-game decisions and clock management are an unknown quantity...because he’s never done it. This doesn’t necessarily mean he’ll be bad...but there are plenty of longtime veteran NFL coaches who struggle with critical decisions and clock management. It’s entirely possible that Kitchens will be just fine...or he could be more like Andy Reid/Ken Whisenhunt with head-scratching decisions and ill-advised playcalling in crunch time. We’ll find out for sure on Sunday.
  7. OBJ played 12 games last year. The Giants were 4-8 with OBJ on the field (.333) and 1-3 without him (.250). OBJ played only four games in 2017. The Giants were 0-4 with him (.000) and 3-9 without him (.250). The guy is obviously a tremendous talented playmaker and a FF favorite...but in actual football, his presence and/or absence had negligible impact on the team’s W/L record. WRs are often playmakers...but they’re rarely difference-makers in the big picture.
  8. Not a great night for Trubisky. Rodgers had a great 2nd quarter, but was quite unremarkable otherwise.
  9. That's it. From this day forward, Antonio Brown shall henceforth be known simply as "Tumor". Or "Tooma".
  10. I believe Oman is referring to a play in PSG3 last year. One of the Steelers' safeties ran the wrong way....Davis saw it and adjusted his route to the wide open area behind the safety, which would have been an easy TD. But Mariota didn't see the blown coverage and threw to where he expected Davis to be based on the play that was called (crossing route), and the ball bounced about five yards short of CD. Mariota gave Davis a hand gesture like "Hey, you were supposed to cut across"....but when Davis pointed out the blown coverage, Mariota admitted he hadn't seen it and cost the team a chance at an easy TD. It was definitely a blown opportunity by Mariota.....but critics make it sound like Mariota went off on Davis, which wasn't the case at all. It was just Mariota gesturing to show Davis the route he had expected....Davis told him why he changed it, and that was that.
  11. Daaaaang. Now THAT’s some serious stuff! No coming back from that one!
  12. Brady got a safety after throwing it away and the officials ruled it intentional grounding.
  13. How freaking funny will it be if AB ends up getting his contract voided before he ever sets foot on the field? On a more sympathetic have to wonder if he's ever submitted to any sort of psychiatric evaluation. Even he has to realize this is erratic, highly abnormal behavior.
  14. This is the narrative. It sounds great in theory. As mentioned in the other thread, game film of Tom Brady and Drew Brees has shown this narrative to be quite false. In fact, they do the exact opposite of what you're suggesting. They go through their entire read progression and trust their O-line to protect them.
  15. As I pointed out in the other 2018, on plays where Tom Brady and Drew Brees dropped back into their own end zones, they routinely held the ball for >2.5 seconds while trusting their O-lines to do their jobs and keep the QB protected. On plays where their first and second reads were covered, they continued through their progressions until they found an open receiver. Neither of them had a throwaway, even when their receivers were covered. On the play in question, Mariota was sacked approximately 2.02 seconds after the snap when the O-line failed to pick up a stunt. He trusted his O-line to protect him...and they failed.
  16. To my understanding, QBs are coached to get their ball out of their hand within 2.5 seconds....that's the bare minimum of protection they expect from the O-line. Holding the ball longer than 2.5 seconds greatly increases their chances of getting hit/sacked....and the QB knows it. The longer they hold the ball, the more likely they are to get hit. The majority of QB sacks happen in less than 2.5 seconds while the QB is still in the pocket. These quick sacks are almost always on the O-line, and the culprit is usually obvious and easily identifiable.....somebody whiffed on a block, got off-balance, or just flat-out got beat and never fully engaged the defender. When a play ends quickly, it's usually because an OL blew his assignment. (Or sometimes an RB). When a sack happens after 3-4 seconds...that's when we start looking at the QB. The longer the QB holds the ball and/or moves off center, the more blame he deserves. He can't expect his O-line to protect him for 4+ seconds...he's gotta get rid of the ball. Mariota was sacked 42 times last year.....and a lot of them happened right around the 3 second mark. Marcus deserves his fair share of blame for those plays. Given adequate protection, he should have been more decisive/aggressive and gotten the ball out quicker....and it didn't happen. But there were also a lot of sacks that happened in that first 2.5 seconds where the QB is supposed to be protected. Those are squarely on the O-line for not doing their job and not allowing Marcus enough time to do his.
  17. At this point, Mariota has already moved off his first read (Hump) and is looking at his second read (Sharpe). The entire progression is based on timing. If the QB sees his initial read is covered, he immediately goes to his next read... no waiting around and no going back. On this play, Hump stops to chip the LB and doesn't get into his route cleanly that read is eliminated. By the time he gets open, it's already too late...Mariota has moved to his next read and is no longer looking at Hump. The play is designed for Hump to be open within a second or so of the snap. That didn't happen, and Mariota moved on.
  18. O-line performance as a whole is obviously impacted and influenced by the QB's execution....but a play is only as good as the weakest link. Every player has a job to do and is expected to execute his assignment. If one guy fails, the whole thing goes to hell. If the QB is in the wrong spot, holds the ball for 3+ seconds or deviates from the design of the play....hey, that's on him. But when the QB is in the pocket and an OL is falling backward or sprawling on the ground in under 2 seconds ....that's a blown assignment. You don't have to be Bill Walsh to see which is which.
  19. Let's assume Mariota has a strong, productive season this year.....let's say 16 games, 30 TDs, 10 INTs. 4100 yards. IMO, the smart play by JRob is to tag him in 2020 and make him to do it two years in a row before handing him $100+ guaranteed.
  20. Zero chance. Not even worth discussing.
  21. I was a bit concerned last year after Succop missed three PAT kicks in four weeks.....and then he missed another one last week, which did little to restore faith. I like Succop, and he's been rock solid for a long time....but I'm probably not using a "return-from-IR" designation on a kicker unless Santos really struggles.
  22. Zeke’s a great player and all...but that’s an awful lot of money for a RB.
  23. I doubt JRob sees it as being a favorable position. I’m sure he’d much prefer a situation where the extension was a no-brainer and it was just a matter of hammering out the final numbers. Right now JRob is in a purgatory situation with no idea what to expect. All he can do is hope for the best...and plan for the worst.
  24. In his first three years, JRob has done a very good job of acquiring talent and improving the roster. Which is great, but let's face it: talent acquisition is the most basic and fundamental aspect of any GM's job. It's GM 101. Now he's entered Phase II of his career, which is just as critical as Phase I but even more difficult....because the cap becomes a limiting factor. He can't just throw money at every good player whose contract is up and leave the cap in ruins (a la Floyd Reese). He'll have to make tough decisions with some core players and determine which guys are critical to the team's success and which guys are replaceable.....and where guys are allowed to leave via free agency, he has to be able to fill those gaps. Next offseason will be huge for JR. The QB position is obviously priority #1 looming over everything....but Conklin, Henry, and Logan Ryan are also scheduled to hit free agency next offseason. Dennis Kelly has played an important role for the past couple years....he's also in a contract year. Delanie is under contract through 2020, but he could be a cap casualty next offseason....that's gonna hurt. Jayon Brown has two years left on his rookie contract...but given his play, he'll be looking for an extension after this year. (Jayon is scheduled to make $645K this year and $735K next year; there's zero chance that he plays out that deal.) "From good to great" isn't just about the players and coaching staff; it's also about JRob himself. He's been good so far....but for this team to reach the next level over the next 2- 3 years, JRob will have to be great.
  25. I like the cautious approach with Simmons. There was never any expectation that he might be available before the bye......I'd much rather keep him on ice a few weeks longer than necessary as opposed to putting him out there a week or two before he's fully healed.