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nine

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Everything posted by nine

  1. Simmons was universally regarded as a top 5-10 pick until the ACL injury. According to all reports, at least one team graded Simmons as the #1 prospect in the draft, period. The injury will cost him most or all of one season....which diminishes his value. And while ACL injuries are much less of a concern than they were years ago, there's still the possibility that he won't be the same guy post-injury. So instead of being selected in the top 5-10 picks, he slipped to #19.
  2. JRob's draft, according to Tez: Drafting anyone except Lawrence = panic move, pissed his pants Trading up to get Lawrence = panic move, pissed his pants See how that works?
  3. At least Tez is consistent. Simmons could end up being a perennial Pro Bowler and DPOY candidate, and Tez will still be fuming about JRob wasting the pick.
  4. I’m not sure ESPN is aware that Simmons played college football. There was literally zero mention of him as a football player.
  5. Imagine that: a first-round talent who falls to round three due to major character issues turns out to have major character issues.
  6. After perusing the various draft pages at NFL.com and ESPN.com, I still wasn’t sure what time the draft actually kicks off. This thread is literally the first time I’ve seen the start time clearly stated.
  7. That clip makes Lock look 15 years old. Or maybe I'm just so old, I think anyone under 30 looks like a baby.
  8. I assume you're comparing Mariota to Alex Smith circa 2016-2017, right? You're correct that Alex Smith's first four years don't compare to Mariota. Mariota 2015-2018 12004 yds, 218 yds/game , 63.2% completions, 7.5 yds/att, 69 TD / 42 INT, 89.4 rating 27-28 record in 55 starts Alex Smith 2005-2009: 7029 yards, 175 yds/game, 56.3% completion rate, 6.0 Yds/attempt, 37 TD / 43 INT , 69.2 passer rating. 16-24 record in 40 starts For Smith's first four years, Zach Mettenberger would be the better comparison.
  9. I still have faith that Marcus can develop into a more consistent and productive player than he’s been thus far. But the fact is, he’s been unable to finish the season in three out of four years. I’m not convinced his body can consistently withstand the rigors of a full 16+ game schedule. I’m not questioning his toughness; I’m talking about structural injuries where playing through them simply isn’t an option. His body can’t quite make it through a full season....he keeps coming up just a couple weeks short.
  10. Even if we assume the Titans are waiting for the QB-rich 2020 draft class with guys like Tua, Trevor Lawrence, and Justin Hebert.....this year's team probably won't be bad enough to have a shot at any of them. Those guys will all be gone in the top 4-5 picks. Trading up that far would cost the Titans multiple high-round picks over a 2-3 year period, and possibly including a Pro Bowl caliber player from the Titans roster.
  11. It's worth noting that these videos don't show "good" plays. We're only looking at negative plays; every single play, one or more guys will look bad. What I'm seeing is there was no single point of blame or simple solution for last year's struggles. These videos show a little bit of everything; blame falls everywhere. Marcus being indecisive, holding the ball, and showing poor pocket presence. Poor OL execution/communication. Receivers unable to get open. After review, the O-line wasn't as terrible as I initially thought...but they certainly weren't good, either. In many cases, Marcus was given adequate protection for 2 - 2.5 seconds...but no more than that. Virtually every sack happened in three seconds or less....so while the protection wasn't necessarily bad, it was the bare minimum and allowed Marcus zero room for error or hesitation. He either got the ball out quickly and on time or he was sacked; there was very little in-between. Mariota's hesitation often made the O-line look worse than they really were. But by the same token, Marcus' inability to trust his protection exacerbated his issues with pocket awareness, making him skittish in the pocket and contributing to his inconsistency. Instead of the QB and O-line working together and helping one another, they made each other look worse. Unblocked pass rushers were a persistent issue all season long, particularly on stunts and delayed blitzes. Again, there wasn't any one consistent point of failure: sometimes the OL were slow to recognize it and pass guys off. Sometimes there were more pass rushers than blockers and Marcus failed to recognize it. Sometimes the defense simply had the perfect call dialed up to exploit the protection scheme. Everyone points to the Ravens game as an example of Mariota creating his own sacks..which is true. But of the eleven sacks that day, several fall directly on Matt LaFleur's shoulders. After the Ravens D registered six sacks by halftime, you'd think LaFleur would have adjusted his playcalling to counteract or at least slow the Ravens' pass rush....but no. He stuck to the gameplan and kept calling the same type of plays that were a disaster in the first half....which resulted in five more sacks in the second half, leaving Mariota shell-shocked and the O-line humiliated. Marcus and the O-line can take the blame for the first six sacks....everything that happened after that is on LaFleur, IMO.
  12. I would also mention this: In the past three drafts, JRob has NEVER tipped his hand leading up to the draft. We obviously heard all sorts of rumors....but I don't recall hearing any rumors or indications whatsoever that the Titans were interested in Jack Conklin, Corey Davis, or Rashaan Evans. So any rumors we're hearing right now about any specific players should be taken with a HUGE grain of salt. It's entirely possible that the Titans are seriously looking at QB candidates....but the fact that Lock's name is being rumored almost makes it seem LESS likely that he's the guy JRob is targeting.
  13. Call me crazy...but Lock's game footage reminds me a bit of Jay Cutler coming out of Vanderbilt. What I don't like about Lock is that he mechanics are all over the place. He obviously has a strong arm and has good accuracy when he steps into throws....but he also makes a lot of arm-only throws from his back foot or with his feet facing the wrong direction, and that's where throws sometimes get away from him. Given a year or two to fix his mechanics, I could see him developing into a really good QB. But throwing him into the deep end too soon could be a disaster.
  14. I seriously doubt JRob and Vrabel think in terms of a running clock or being tied to a specific QB. Their decisions aren't based on buying time and trying not to get fired; their decisions are based on winning games and moving closer to the ultimate goal of winning a championship. And they'll be first to say that if they fail to reach that goal, then they deserve to be fired. Everyone would obviously prefer to have a single QB to provide stability and be "the guy"....but that's not an option at the moment. JRob and Vrabel are responsible for running a billion-dollar organization....and right now, they can't say who their starting QB will be a year from now. That's a huge problem....and personally, I don't think they can afford wait a year to address it. Every year we see multiple teams faced with this very same situation. Most teams choose to put all their eggs in one basket by either drafting a QB or by signing a veteran QB and making him "the guy". Both options have a very low success rate; it only works out maybe 10-20% of the time. But for whatever reason, teams keep doing it year after year after year. The Titans already know they have a problem. Rather than waiting a year and use the same all-or-nothing approach that historically has a very low chance of succeeding, I'd just as soon take a proactive approach and address the issue immediately.
  15. Drafting a QB at 19 would certainly go against NFL conventional wisdom ....but I don't think JRob gives a damn about conventional wisdom or what other teams would do. He'll make the decision that offers the greatest benefit for the team as a whole. Every team needs consistency and stability at the QB position. If a team isn't getting that consistency/stability and they're not seeing significant progress, then they have a choice to make: they can take a "wait and see" approach and hope for improvement...or they can do something about it. I think we all agree JRob isn't exactly the "wait and see" type. He made an aggressive move to acquire Tannehill as a one-year stopgap for 2019....but he still needs a plan for the future. The roster obviously isn't stacked, but it's in relatively decent shape....which makes this a great opportunity to draft a QB. Having Marcus and Tannehill means they can afford to redshirt a QB, giving him a year (or more) to learn the ropes and develop his game before being asked to shoulder the load. I also think there's a fair chance Mariota agrees to a 2-3 year extension after the season at $15-20M/year. Let's be honest: there's no way in hell any team is offering $25-30M/year for an inconsistent and oft-injured QB who can't finish a season. IMO, a moderately-priced 2-3 year extension would be mutually beneficial for both sides. Marcus would get a respectable salary with an opportunity to earn an even bigger contract in a couple years....but the team wouldn't necessarily be locked in long term and could replace him or relegate him to a backup role if they choose to do so.
  16. JRob is a pretty pragmatic guy. From day one, he has consistently and aggressively moves that he felt put the team closer to their ultimate goal of a Super Bowl championship. For all the talk about edge rushers, WR, D-line, O-line, etc...at this point, the team’s biggest need is for stability and consistency at the QB position. As the saying goes, “Better to cut a player a year too soon than a year too late.” Not that JR is ready to part ways with Mariota now...but I think he’s tired of all the injuries and wondering whether his starting QB will be available from one week to the next. JRob has a history of making very aggressive decisions on draft day. It he fully expects to be looking for a QB next year, I could see him pulling the trigger this year rather than waiting.
  17. For a couple years, CJ was one of the most explosive and feared playmakers to ever set foot on the gridiron. Very few players can say that at any point in their careers. To this day, I still regard CJ as the gold standard of speed for NFL players. Lots of guys run fast in a controlled track environment while wearing shorts; rarely does that speed translate to the field. In terms of game situations with full pads, CJ was the fastest I’ve ever seen, bar none. The guy possessed a gear that simply doesn’t exist in other players. Even fast guys looked silly by comparison.
  18. DOH....Thanks for the heads up. I spliced in the wrong clip; I'll have it fixed shortly. EDIT: It's fixed now.
  19. Just for clarification: when I say "2018 sacks", I'm referring to the NFL 2018 season...not the number of times he was sacked in the Ravens game.
  20. All-22 footage showing every sack Mariota took in 2018. All 42 of 'em. Rather than making one huge file, I split them into four separate 5-6 minute videos for easier consumption. Note that the videos start in week three. Marcus wasn't sacked in the season opener and was sidelined in week 2. Sacks: Weeks 3-6 ( clip updated) - @ Jags, vs Eagles, @ Bills, vs. Ravens Sacks: Weeks 7-10 - @ Chargers, @ Cowboys, vs Patriots Sacks: Weeks 11-12 - @ Colts, @ Texans Sacks: Weeks 13-16 - vs Jets, vs Jags, @ NYG, vs Redskins
  21. 520 does seem to be a bit preoccupied with reviving and recycling old predictions and other useless crap from 4-5 years ago. It's kinda like an aging headbanger who insists Whitesnake, Motley Crue, and the other bands he listened to in high school are still relevant today.
  22. For what it's worth...according to OverTheCap.com, Todd Gurley ($14.3M/yr), LeVeon Bell ($13.1M), and David Johnson ($13M) are the only running backs making eight figures; the next guy is Devonte Freeman at $8.25M. There's literally nobody in the $9-12M range. Weird, right? https://overthecap.com/position/running-back/ Extending Henry this year is probably unlikely....but I certainly wouldn't rule it out. Right now, both parties have a certain amount of leverage to negotiate...and similar risk, as well. Henry's camp can point to his hot stretch last year and a half-dozen games in 2016-2017 as proof of his ability. Other selling points are his durability and ball security, both of which have been excellent. But injury is an ever-present risk and a fact of life in the NFL; if Henry gets hurt or if his production declines next year, his value for 2020 drops significantly. JRob can point to the fact that Henry's production has been wildly inconsistent aside from a four-game hot stretch...and unlike Gurley/Bell/Johnson, Henry has been primarily a 2-down back with limited involvement in the passing game. The fact that both sides have similar risk/reward makes this a good time to negotiate an equitable deal that works for both sides. And if Henry's camp decides to play hard ball and demand top-three money, JRob always has the franchise tag (currently $11M) as his hole card for 2020.
  23. The problem with trading down is that it requires a partner who wants to trade up. This class has a lot of quality prospects...but IMO, the drop-off in talent from #19 to #32 isn’t bad. Rather than sacrificing a 3rd to jump up maybe 10-12 spots, I suspect teams will be content to keep their picks and let the draft come to them.
  24. It just depends on your opinion and faith in Henry’a ability. If you see him as a franchise-caliber RB and a cornerstone of the offense, then you pay him as such. If you think you can get comparable production by letting him walk and drafting his replacement, then you do it.
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