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About Carpy

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    Pro Bowler

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  1. Putting any money on a RB is stupid. Chris Johnson has 2000 yards in 2009 and didn’t receive a single MVP vote. (4 QBs got votes that year). I think Mariota is probably closer to 100/1, but that is probably similar odds to what Mahommes was at this time last year. It will be a QB and probably a QB under 30. There is no way the Titans give Henry enough carries over a full season for him to get 2000 yards. And even if they did, he isn’t winning MVP.
  2. The Ravens seem to think so. Their QB room after the draft is Lamar Jackson, RG3 and Trace McSorley. McSorley ran for nearly 1000 yards last year in college while passing at only 53% accuracy. He also ran a 4.57 40 at the combine. They added Marquise Brown (draft), Mark Ingram (FA), Miles Boykin (draft) and Justice Hill (draft) to their offense and give every indication they are going to run a true college offense in 2019. They have 7 RBs on their roster and a heap of small, fast WRs for bubble screens, fly routes and jet sweeps. I was listening to Move the Sticks podcast today and they were suggesting that regardless of who good Jackson plays, that he wouldn't get a second contract, because guys like that can be found every year in the draft and you just draft another one to add to the QB room when you need them. That makes a massive difference to your salary cap when you never plan on investing $20m+ in a QB. It certainly seems like the Ravens have gone all-in on this approach and are hoping their defense stays elite and allows them to be successful. Either way, will be interesting to see if it is successful.
  3. Tez I am supremely confident that every person employed by an NFL team (now or previously) has you covered for intelligence. I used to think that the only possible exception is Vince Young, but with every post you make I rethink that opinion. Ray Blands or no Ray Blands.
  4. You can see he got the call before Vikings pick had even been announced. Any dickhead who claims this wasn’t their plan all along is off their rocker.
  5. Brian Burns was mocked to either Dolphins or Falcons in a LOT of mock drafts. Looks like at least him or Sweat will be on board for us. I would be happy with either.
  6. Holy shit. Raiders fans get screwed over again. Take away Mack and Cooper and give them Clemson’s 4th best DEfensive Lineman.
  7. 48 Hours out - Let's do a poll to see where everyone sits. Question 1 - Who do you think the Titans draft first? Question 2 - Who would you draft first if you were JRob? The questions are intended regardless of whether they trade up trade down or stay where they are. If you want someone like Hockenson, then the expectation is that you are also willing to pay the price to move up and get him in the range he is expected to go.
  8. It is hard to speculate the extent to which that would drop him. If you look at Jaylon Smith he tore his ACL, MCL and had nerve damage, was definitely out of action for 12 months and was questionable about whether he would play again. That injury was enough to drop him from a top-10 pick to the very top of the 2nd round. In that same draft, Myles Jack reported knee injury (similar to reports of Sweat's shoulder) caused him to drop from top-10 to early 2nd round. If you presume that injury free both Simmons and Sweat were top-10 picks, then I think a reasonable forecast would be 18-25 for Simmons (much less severe knee injury than Smith) and early 2nd round for Sweat. That said, it totally depends on the extent of recovery teams identified in their medicals.
  9. I thought the same thing, but maybe the Titans view of what they need from their Guards has also changed. Saffold entered the league as a LT and actually started there for a few years before transitioning to Guard. It is possible they are looking at similar athletes to play G (Greg Little is almost identical size to Saffold). Replacing Conklin with a rookie seems weird. Kelly was more than serviceable filling in last year and even if Conklin doesn’t make it back, RG is more of a weakness than RT.
  10. I was just looking through the contract structures and they are curious. Saffold and Humphries deals have much bigger cap hit in 2020 than 2019. We will have a number of extensions to issue next year, so surprised that they aren't saving more cap space for that. Also, Suh ended up signing a one-year $14m deal last year. Not out of the question that we could get him for a similar deal this year (or slightly less). I certainly don't see another 3-4 year contract for someone, but wouldn't be surprised if we dish out a 1 year deal to someone that is a potential difference maker on the D-Line.
  11. Will be interesting to see if Humphries replaces Adoree as primary punt returner as well. I still want wither NKeal Harry or AJ Brown in the draft as another outside receiver, but love the Humphries signing.
  12. I don't buy that Houston's price is going to be that high. His salary with the Chiefs this year was $15.25m and if he had a market for that price point, someone would have been able to trade for him by swapping 7th round picks or something. In the end the Chiefs cut him because no-one would take on that salary. He also had no guaranteed money this year or next. I would be surprised if Houston didn't sign for about $10m/yr (with a decent chunk of guaranteed money) for the next two years.
  13. Houston is now #1 on my wishlist for Free Agency. We need to draft an edge rusher as well, but having Houston opposite Honor is a major upgrade to our 3rd down defense.
  14. I know the Raiders have the most to offer, but I still don’t understand why the hell they would make this move. By the time the Raiders are in a position to compete Brown is 34 or 35. They are much better off investing all that draft capital in rookies and let them grow together. But Gruen. i have always thought two teams that would make logical landing spots are the Seahawks and Eagles. Not sure either one is in on the chase, or have enough capital to make a compelling offer, but they are two teams that are looking to get back over the hump and Brown might make enough of a difference for. Titans kind of fit that boat as well, but obviously we are rumoured to be out now.
  15. I think the Redskins cut ties with Smith and draft a QB early. Signing Keenum just gives them a placeholder starter until the rookie is ready. He has an inflated contract, but the compensation to acquire him is insignificant.
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